Back to Today's Picks
🏆 Bundesliga
🔴 LIVE · 69'
FSV Mainz 05 2 - 3 Werder Bremen
Match Explainer
The goals model sees this as U4.5 84%, O1.5 78%, O2.5 54%. Use this to compare market probability against the available odds. If the odds are shorter than fair value, skip rather than force a bet. H2H support is available further down the page.
📋 Match Overview
🏆 League: Bundesliga
🏟️ Venue: MEWA Arena
🕒 Kickoff Time: 24 Oct 2026, 02:30 PM
🏁 Match Status: 🔴 Live (69')
📊 Teams Profile: FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
🎲 Bookmaker Odds Comparison (1X2 Market)
| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet 🏆 VALUE | 1.76 | 4.31 | 4.53 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.16 | 4.45 |
🎯 Our Markets Odds (Goals & Double Chance)
The markets we actually feature in the daily acca — compare prices across books.
| Bookmaker | Under 4.5 | Over 1.5 | Home/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1.28 | 1.15 | 1.22 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - | - |
| William Hill | - | - | - | - |
| Pinnacle | - | - | - | - |
📈 Recent Head-To-Head Meetings
3
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
2
Draws
3
Werder Bremen Wins
| 2026-10-24 | Bundesliga | FSV Mainz 05 | 2 - 3 | Werder Bremen |
| 2026-03-15 | D1 | Werder Bremen | 0 - 2 | Mainz |
| 2025-11-01 | D1 | Mainz | 1 - 1 | Werder Bremen |
| 2025-01-31 | D1 | Werder Bremen | 1 - 0 | Mainz |
| 2024-09-15 | D1 | Mainz | 1 - 2 | Werder Bremen |
| 2024-02-03 | D1 | Mainz | 0 - 1 | Werder Bremen |
| 2023-09-02 | D1 | Werder Bremen | 4 - 0 | Mainz |
| 2023-04-08 | D1 | Mainz | 2 - 2 | Werder Bremen |
📊 Group / League Standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | D Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | B Bayern | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | L Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | R RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | A Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | B Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | M Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | E Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | S Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | H HSV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | S Schalke | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | F Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | S SC Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | U Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | H Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | M M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Corners & Cards Context
Historical football-data.co.uk stats only. Use as context, not a guarantee.
League sample2492
Avg corners9.77
Avg yellows3.81
Red-card freq.13.4%
Over 8.5 corners historical rate: 62%. Disciplinary risk: Medium.
Werder Bremen
277 matches | corners for 4.42 | yellows 2.12 | red 7.9%
277 matches | corners for 4.42 | yellows 2.12 | red 7.9%
Get the Daily Confidence Digest
Get today's safer picks, value-watch notes, and yesterday's verified record in one quick digest.
Subscribe to free digest