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← Back to Today's Match Slates
🏆 Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 1 - 2 Bayern München

🏟️ MEWA Arena · 🕒 07 Nov 2026, 03:30 PM
✅ FT
Statistical Match Projection
👉 Projection: 2
Market Price: 1.19
Poisson Probability:
84%
H2H Reasoned Analysis: Market banker: Away priced at 1.19 (Unibet (FR)). Short-odds selection.
Match Intelligence Explainer: The goals model sees this as U4.5 68%, O1.5 89%, O2.5 72%. Analysts should evaluate the statistical distribution alongside lineup readiness. H2H support is available below; compare it with the current form.

Match Explainer

The goals model sees this as U4.5 68%, O1.5 89%, O2.5 72%. Use this to compare market probability against the available odds. If the odds are shorter than fair value, skip rather than force a bet. H2H support is available further down the page.

📋 Match Overview

🏆 League: Bundesliga
🏟️ Venue: MEWA Arena
🕒 Kickoff Time: 07 Nov 2026, 03:30 PM
🏁 Match Status: ✅ Full Time
📊 Teams Profile: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

💡 AI Prediction & Recommendation

Given the competitive profiles of both squads in the Bundesliga, our AI systems estimate a 84% confidence factor for: Market banker: Away priced at 1.19 (Unibet (FR)). Short-odds selection..

🎲 Bookmaker Odds Comparison (1X2 Market)

Bookmaker Home (1) Draw (X) Away (2)
SportyBet 9.95 7.63 1.27
Bet365 - - -
William Hill 🏆 VALUE 7.50 5.80 1.29
Pinnacle 8.98 6.33 1.29

🎯 Our Markets Odds (Goals & Double Chance)

The markets we actually feature in the daily acca — compare prices across books.

Bookmaker Under 4.5Over 1.5Home/DrawDraw/Away
SportyBet 1.63 1.06 3.60 1.08
Bet365 - - - -
William Hill - - - -
Pinnacle - - - -

📈 Recent Head-To-Head Meetings

2
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
1
Draws
5
Bayern München Wins
2026-11-07 Bundesliga FSV Mainz 05 1 - 2 Bayern München
2026-04-25 D1 Mainz 3 - 4 Bayern Munich
2025-12-14 D1 Bayern Munich 2 - 2 Mainz
2025-04-26 D1 Bayern Munich 3 - 0 Mainz
2024-12-14 D1 Mainz 2 - 1 Bayern Munich
2024-03-09 D1 Bayern Munich 8 - 1 Mainz
2023-10-21 D1 Mainz 1 - 3 Bayern Munich
2023-04-22 D1 Mainz 3 - 1 Bayern Munich

📊 Group / League Standings

Pos Club P W D L GD Pts
1 B Bayern 9 6 3 0 +20 21
2 D Dortmund 9 6 3 0 +9 21
3 F Freiburg 9 6 1 2 +10 19
4 R RB Leipzig 9 6 0 3 +14 18
5 L Leverkusen 9 5 1 3 +3 16
6 B Bremen 9 4 3 2 +2 15
7 E Elversberg 9 4 1 4 -1 13
8 S Stuttgart 9 4 0 5 0 12
9 H Hoffenheim 9 4 0 5 -1 12
10 F Frankfurt 9 3 3 3 -5 12
11 H HSV 9 4 0 5 -10 12
12 M Mainz 9 3 1 5 -1 10
13 S SC Paderborn 9 2 4 3 -3 10
14 A Augsburg 9 2 3 4 0 9
15 1 1. FC Köln 9 2 3 4 -4 9
16 U Union Berlin 9 1 4 4 -14 7
17 S Schalke 9 1 3 5 -6 6
18 M M'gladbach 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Corners & Cards Context

Historical football-data.co.uk stats only. Use as context, not a guarantee.

League sample2519
Avg corners9.78
Avg yellows3.81
Red-card freq.13.3%

Over 8.5 corners historical rate: 62%. Disciplinary risk: Medium.

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