Back to Today's Picks
🏆 Primeira Liga
✅ FT
Sporting CP 2 - 2 Arouca
Platform Betting Pick
👉 Pick: 1
Odds: 1.18
AI Confidence:
85%
H2H Reasoned Analysis:
Market banker: Home priced at 1.18 (sportybet). Short-odds selection.
Match Explainer:
The goals model sees this as U4.5 76%, O1.5 84%, O2.5 64%.
Safer users should prefer the market with the clearest model edge and avoid forcing a pick if book odds are too short.
H2H support is available below; compare it with the current form before staking.
Match Explainer
The goals model sees this as U4.5 76%, O1.5 84%, O2.5 64%. Use this to compare market probability against the available odds. If the odds are shorter than fair value, skip rather than force a bet. H2H support is available further down the page.
📋 Match Overview
🏆 League: Primeira Liga
🏟️ Venue: Estádio José Alvalade
🕒 Kickoff Time: 19 Sep 2026, 08:30 PM
🏁 Match Status: ✅ Full Time
📊 Teams Profile: Sporting CP vs Arouca
💡 AI Prediction & Recommendation
Given the competitive profiles of both squads in the Primeira Liga, our AI systems estimate a 85% confidence factor for: Market banker: Home priced at 1.18 (sportybet). Short-odds selection..🎲 Bookmaker Odds Comparison (1X2 Market)
| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet 🏆 VALUE | 1.18 | 8.26 | 15.66 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - |
| William Hill | - | - | - |
| Pinnacle | - | - | - |
🎯 Our Markets Odds (Goals & Double Chance)
The markets we actually feature in the daily acca — compare prices across books.
| Bookmaker | Under 4.5 | Over 1.5 | Home/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1.34 | 1.14 | 1.04 | 4.30 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - | - |
| William Hill | - | - | - | - |
| Pinnacle | - | - | - | - |
📈 Recent Head-To-Head Meetings
3
Sporting CP Wins
3
Draws
2
Arouca Wins
| 2026-09-19 | Primeira Liga | Sporting CP | 2 - 2 | Arouca |
| 2026-09-19 | P1 | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 2 | Arouca |
| 2026-01-24 | P1 | Arouca | 1 - 2 | Sp Lisbon |
| 2025-08-17 | P1 | Sp Lisbon | 6 - 0 | Arouca |
| 2025-02-15 | P1 | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 2 | Arouca |
| 2024-09-13 | P1 | Arouca | 0 - 3 | Sp Lisbon |
| 2024-03-10 | P1 | Arouca | 0 - 3 | Sp Lisbon |
| 2023-10-08 | P1 | Sp Lisbon | 2 - 1 | Arouca |
📊 Group / League Standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | S Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 13 |
| 3 | S Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | S SL Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 10 |
| 5 | A Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 | B Braga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 | G Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 8 | M Marítimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | A Amadora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 10 | A Acad. Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | C CD Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | V Vitória SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | M Moreirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | F Famalicão | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | R Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 | A Alverca | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | E Estoril Praia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | C Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
Corners & Cards Context
Historical football-data.co.uk stats only. Use as context, not a guarantee.
League sample2510
Avg corners9.97
Avg yellows5.14
Red-card freq.24.1%
Over 8.5 corners historical rate: 64%. Disciplinary risk: High.
Arouca
177 matches | corners for 4.25 | yellows 2.62 | red 16.4%
177 matches | corners for 4.25 | yellows 2.62 | red 16.4%
Get the Daily Confidence Digest
Get today's safer picks, value-watch notes, and yesterday's verified record in one quick digest.
Subscribe to free digest