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🏆 Serie A
🔴 LIVE · 14'
Monza 0 - 1 Napoli
Platform Betting Guide
👉 Guide: 1
Odds: 1.63
Guide Confidence:
61%
H2H Reasoned Analysis:
SportyAI Model: Home xG 2.59, Away xG 1.49
Match Explainer:
The goals model sees this as U4.5 76%, O1.5 84%, O2.5 64%.
Safer users should prefer the market with the clearest model edge and avoid forcing a pick if book odds are too short.
H2H support is available below; compare it with the current form before staking.
Match Explainer
The goals model sees this as U4.5 76%, O1.5 84%, O2.5 64%. Use this to compare market probability against the available odds. If the odds are shorter than fair value, skip rather than force a bet. H2H support is available further down the page.
📋 Match Overview
🏆 League: Serie A
🏟️ Venue: Stadio Brianteo
🕒 Kickoff Time: 28 Oct 2026, 08:45 PM
🏁 Match Status: 🔴 Live (14')
📊 Teams Profile: Monza vs Napoli
💡 AI Prediction & Recommendation
Given the competitive profiles of both squads in the Serie A, our AI systems estimate a 61% confidence factor for: SportyAI Model: Home xG 2.59, Away xG 1.49.🎲 Bookmaker Odds Comparison (1X2 Market)
| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet 🏆 VALUE | 5.74 | 4.58 | 1.59 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
| Pinnacle | 4.88 | 4.06 | 1.72 |
🎯 Our Markets Odds (Goals & Double Chance)
The markets we actually feature in the daily acca — compare prices across books.
| Bookmaker | Under 4.5 | Over 1.5 | Home/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1.23 | 1.19 | 2.30 | 1.16 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - | - |
| William Hill | - | - | - | - |
| Pinnacle | - | - | - | - |
📈 Recent Head-To-Head Meetings
1
Monza Wins
3
Draws
4
Napoli Wins
| 2025-04-19 | I1 | Monza | 0 - 1 | Napoli |
| 2024-09-29 | I1 | Napoli | 2 - 0 | Monza |
| 2024-04-07 | I1 | Monza | 2 - 4 | Napoli |
| 2023-12-29 | I1 | Napoli | 0 - 0 | Monza |
| 2023-05-14 | I1 | Monza | 2 - 0 | Napoli |
| 2022-08-21 | I1 | Napoli | 4 - 0 | Monza |
| 2000-01-30 | I2 | Napoli | 2 - 2 | Monza |
| 1999-09-05 | I2 | Monza | 0 - 0 | Napoli |
📊 Group / League Standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | I Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 | L Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | R Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 | M Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 | C Como 1907 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | F Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | J Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | T Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | C Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | N Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | A Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | L Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | B Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | S Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | M Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | G Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | U Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | F Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 | P Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | V Venezia FC | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -11 | 3 |
Corners & Cards Context
Historical football-data.co.uk stats only. Use as context, not a guarantee.
League sample3110
Avg corners9.71
Avg yellows4.38
Red-card freq.17%
Over 8.5 corners historical rate: 62%. Disciplinary risk: Medium.
Monza
235 matches | corners for 4.84 | yellows 2.26 | red 11.1%
235 matches | corners for 4.84 | yellows 2.26 | red 11.1%
Napoli
311 matches | corners for 5.86 | yellows 1.65 | red 5.8%
311 matches | corners for 5.86 | yellows 1.65 | red 5.8%
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