Back to Today's Picks
๐ Bundesliga
๐ด LIVE ยท 70'
FSV Mainz 05 2 - 4 Bayer Leverkusen
Match Explainer
The goals model sees this as U4.5 80%, O1.5 82%, O2.5 60%. Use this to compare market probability against the available odds. If the odds are shorter than fair value, skip rather than force a bet. H2H support is available further down the page.
๐ Match Overview
๐ League: Bundesliga
๐๏ธ Venue: MEWA Arena
๐ Kickoff Time: 10 Oct 2026, 02:30 PM
๐ Match Status: ๐ด Live (70')
๐ Teams Profile: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen
๐ฒ Bookmaker Odds Comparison (1X2 Market)
| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet ๐ VALUE | 3.18 | 3.82 | 2.26 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.00 | 3.96 | 2.23 |
๐ฏ Our Markets Odds (Goals & Double Chance)
The markets we actually feature in the daily acca โ compare prices across books.
| Bookmaker | Under 4.5 | Over 1.5 | Home/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1.26 | 1.17 | 1.65 | 1.37 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - | - |
| William Hill | - | - | - | - |
| Pinnacle | - | - | - | - |
๐ Recent Head-To-Head Meetings
4
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
2
Draws
2
Bayer Leverkusen Wins
| 2026-02-28 | D1 | Leverkusen | 1 - 1 | Mainz |
| 2025-10-18 | D1 | Mainz | 3 - 4 | Leverkusen |
| 2025-05-17 | D1 | Mainz | 2 - 2 | Leverkusen |
| 2025-01-14 | D1 | Leverkusen | 1 - 0 | Mainz |
| 2024-02-23 | D1 | Leverkusen | 2 - 1 | Mainz |
| 2023-09-30 | D1 | Mainz | 0 - 3 | Leverkusen |
| 2023-02-19 | D1 | Leverkusen | 2 - 3 | Mainz |
| 2022-08-27 | D1 | Mainz | 0 - 3 | Leverkusen |
๐ Group / League Standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | B Bayern | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 | F Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 | A Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 | L Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 | M Mainz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 | E Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | B Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | R RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 | F Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | S Schalke | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | S SC Paderborn | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | 1 1. FC Kรถln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | H Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | S Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | H HSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 | U Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 | M M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Corners & Cards Context
Historical football-data.co.uk stats only. Use as context, not a guarantee.
League sample2483
Avg corners9.77
Avg yellows3.81
Red-card freq.13.3%
Over 8.5 corners historical rate: 62%. Disciplinary risk: Medium.
Get the Daily Confidence Digest
Get today's safer picks, value-watch notes, and yesterday's verified record in one quick digest.
Subscribe to free digest