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🏆 Bundesliga
🔴 LIVE · 71'
FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FSV Mainz 05
Platform Betting Guide
👉 Guide: 2
Odds: 1.39
Guide Confidence:
72%
H2H Reasoned Analysis:
SportyAI Model: Home xG 1.38, Away xG 3.14
Match Explainer:
The goals model sees this as U4.5 87%, O1.5 74%, O2.5 50%.
Safer users should prefer the market with the clearest model edge and avoid forcing a pick if book odds are too short.
H2H support is available below; compare it with the current form before staking.
Match Explainer
The goals model sees this as U4.5 87%, O1.5 74%, O2.5 50%. Use this to compare market probability against the available odds. If the odds are shorter than fair value, skip rather than force a bet. H2H support is available further down the page.
📋 Match Overview
🏆 League: Bundesliga
🏟️ Venue: VELTINS-Arena
🕒 Kickoff Time: 17 Oct 2026, 02:30 PM
🏁 Match Status: 🔴 Live (71')
📊 Teams Profile: FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05
💡 AI Prediction & Recommendation
Given the competitive profiles of both squads in the Bundesliga, our AI systems estimate a 72% confidence factor for: SportyAI Model: Home xG 1.38, Away xG 3.14.🎲 Bookmaker Odds Comparison (1X2 Market)
| Bookmaker | Home (1) | Draw (X) | Away (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet 🏆 VALUE | 3.04 | 3.60 | 2.42 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.29 |
🎯 Our Markets Odds (Goals & Double Chance)
The markets we actually feature in the daily acca — compare prices across books.
| Bookmaker | Under 4.5 | Over 1.5 | Home/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1.19 | 1.22 | 1.57 | 1.40 |
| Bet365 | - | - | - | - |
| William Hill | - | - | - | - |
| Pinnacle | - | - | - | - |
📈 Recent Head-To-Head Meetings
4
FC Schalke 04 Wins
3
Draws
1
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
| 2023-05-05 | D1 | Mainz | 2 - 3 | Schalke 04 |
| 2022-11-09 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 1 - 0 | Mainz |
| 2021-03-05 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | Mainz |
| 2020-11-07 | D1 | Mainz | 2 - 2 | Schalke 04 |
| 2020-02-16 | D1 | Mainz | 0 - 0 | Schalke 04 |
| 2019-09-20 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 2 - 1 | Mainz |
| 2019-02-23 | D1 | Mainz | 3 - 0 | Schalke 04 |
| 2018-09-29 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 1 - 0 | Mainz |
📊 Group / League Standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | D Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | B Bayern | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 | L Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | R RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 | A Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 | B Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | M Mainz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | E Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | S Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | H HSV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 | S Schalke | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | F Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | S SC Paderborn | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | U Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | H Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | M M'gladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Corners & Cards Context
Historical football-data.co.uk stats only. Use as context, not a guarantee.
League sample2483
Avg corners9.77
Avg yellows3.81
Red-card freq.13.3%
Over 8.5 corners historical rate: 62%. Disciplinary risk: Medium.
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